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budget-deficit
Greek debt risks can be self-fulfilling prophecy
Worries over the big budget deficit in Greece have steadily escalated in recent weeks, causing the yield spread between Greek and German bonds to exceed 300 basis points (3 percentage points). But how serious is this crisis really?
The truth about the issue is that Greece’s public finances are indeed in a bad shape, but that [...]
2010 not frighteningly bone-jarring as 2008
Many commentators are upbeat about prospects for the coming year. Among other reasons, they believe that severe recessions are invariably followed by sharp rebounds, even though history suggests financial crisis-inspired downturns tend to be protracted affairs. They are confident that various government-sponsored bailouts and stimulus programs have kick-started a sustainable recovery, even though many of the [...]
Seeing Through the Fog of Funny Money Policymaking
OK, let’s go through this one more time. Despite what we keep hearing from the politicians and moneymen, things are not getting better. Yes, we have seen the economic equivalent of a dead cat bounce — how could we not, given the trillions that have been thrown at the system — but it is simply [...]
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