Behavioural inclinations of managers, often leading to management errors on a microeconomic level, can accumulate, causing at least ineffectiveness, if not serious disruptions in the economy on a macro scale, thinks Professor...
Inflation in Britain has remained well under control since the financial crisis. Monetary and government debt management policies have become much more closely connected, and it will be important to loosen the connection while...
Leisure-enhancing technologies, which are taking up more and more of people's time and attention, may explain a significant part of the slowdown in productivity growth observed in advanced economies in recent decades – says...
Piotr Szpunar, Director of the Economic Analysis Department at NBP, interviews Stefan Ingves, the Governor of Sveriges Riksbank, for the NBP Obserwator Finansowy:
In spite of another wave of the pandemic and the continued shutdown of many of the EU’s major economies, Poland’s return to its pre-pandemic GDP levels will already be possible in early 2022, Beata Javorcik, EBRD’s Chief...
Negative interest rates are not so much the effect of discretionary decisions of central banks but are mainly driven by changes in economic conditions. In the past decades real interest rates worldwide have been systematically...
The recovery in Central Europe will be supported by a rebound in global trade and activity in the euro area, and by exceptional policy accommodation throughout 2021, including near-zero policy interest rates in Poland – says...
The policy response of Narodowy Bank Polski has been swift and large and effective in limiting the economic scarring effects of the pandemic – adequate liquidity provision remains critical in the short-term. The anti-crisis...
For a sample of 33 countries with data stretching back to the 13th century, a pandemic killing 1% of the population raises GDP per capita by 0.3% after almost 20 years.
Pandemics are nothing new in the history of human kind. They differ from global economic crises in many ways. Any economic forecasts prepared during a pandemic, including those referring to the shortest possible periods of time,...